NS Housing Navigator From housing need to shovel-ready plan

Nova Scotia Housing Navigator

Build a council-ready affordable housing plan for your municipality.

15–25 minutes · Data from Statistics Canada, CMHC & NS Municipal Affairs · Free

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Nova Scotia's Housing Challenge

Nova Scotia is in the middle of a housing crisis unlike anything in the province's history. The numbers tell the story: the province needs more than 12,500 housing starts per year through 2035 — more than double the current pace. Population has grown more than 12% since the 2021 Census, driven by immigration and interprovincial migration at rates that have far outpaced new construction. Halifax's vacancy rate sits at 2.1% — well below the 3% considered healthy — and communities outside the capital face even steeper challenges with fewer resources.

The result is predictable: rents are rising, waitlists are growing, and municipal leaders across the province are hearing from constituents who cannot find a place to live. Nurses, teachers, tradespeople, and seniors on fixed incomes are all affected. This is not just a Halifax problem — it reaches every corner of Nova Scotia.

But here is what most people don't realize: affordable housing development is not the same as market housing development. The economics work differently, the funding comes from different places, and the decision-making process follows a different logic. Understanding these differences is the single most important step toward getting a project built.

Why This Tool Exists

Nova Scotia needs more than 12,500 housing starts per year through 2035. Population growth of more than 12% since the 2021 Census has outpaced construction. Halifax vacancy is 2.1%. This tool helps you move from understanding the need to building a plan — using real data for your community.

How Affordable Housing Is Different

In market-rate housing, a developer builds first and then sets rents high enough to cover costs plus profit. Whoever can pay, moves in. The math is straightforward: costs determine rent.

In affordable housing, the logic runs backward. You start by asking: who are we trying to house? Their income determines the maximum rent. That rent determines how much the project can finance through a mortgage. And the difference between what the project costs and what it can finance is called the viability gap.

This gap is not a sign of failure — it is a structural feature of affordable housing. Every successful affordable project in Canada closes this gap using a combination of federal grants, provincial programs, and municipal contributions. Understanding the gap is the first step to closing it.

This tool will walk you through that entire chain: from income, to rent, to costs, to gap, to funding. By the end, you will understand not just the numbers, but the why behind them.

Key concept: Affordable housing works backward from income — residents' income caps rent, which limits financing, creating a viability gap that programs are designed to close. This tool teaches you that chain step by step.

What You'll Need

You don't need anything to get started — we'll use real data for your community. But having the following will make your results more accurate:

  • Site details: Lot dimensions, servicing (water/sewer), and land ownership status
  • Target population: Who you're trying to house (seniors, families, workforce, etc.)
  • Budget context: Any municipal contributions already under discussion (land, tax incentives, fee waivers)

Your progress is saved automatically.

Data Sources for This Section
  • Housing need estimate: CMHC Housing Supply Gaps Report (June 2025)
  • Population growth: Statistics Canada, Table 17-10-0009-01
  • Vacancy rate: CMHC Rental Market Report, Halifax CMA (October 2024)
Part 1 — Community

Your Community

Select your municipality to see demographics, housing data, and an estimate of how many units your community needs.

Reading Your Community's Data

Every affordable housing project starts with understanding the community it will serve. The data below comes from Statistics Canada census records, CMHC housing reports, and Nova Scotia municipal affairs — the same sources used in formal housing needs assessments.

Pay attention to three numbers: population growth rate (higher growth means more pressure on housing supply), median household income (this drives what "affordable" means locally), and estimated housing need (how many units your community needs over the next five years).

These numbers are planning-level estimates. A formal housing needs assessment would refine them with local waitlist data, demographic projections, and core housing need analysis. But they are more than sufficient for exploring whether a project makes sense.

Key data points: Population growth drives demand. Median income determines affordability thresholds. Housing need estimates how many units are required. These are planning-level figures from Statistics Canada and CMHC.

No municipalities match your search.
Housing Need Estimate
How housing need is estimated

Housing need is calculated from three factors: population growth (how many new people), household formation rate (what proportion form new households), and average household size (how many people per home).

Nova Scotia's growth rate has accelerated sharply since 2021, driven by immigration and interprovincial migration. This means housing demand often outpaces new construction, especially outside Halifax.

This estimate is a planning-level figure for council discussion — a formal housing needs assessment would refine it with local waitlist data, demographic projections, and core housing need analysis.

Data Sources for This Section
Part 2 — Site

Your Site

Tell us about your land. Lot size and available services determine which building types are feasible.

What Makes a Good Affordable Housing Site

Site selection is one of the most consequential decisions in an affordable housing project. Three factors matter most:

Ownership certainty is the foundation. Municipal-owned or donated land dramatically reduces project cost — land can represent 10–20% of total development cost. If the municipality can contribute land, the viability equation shifts significantly in your favour.

Adequate size determines what can be built. Multi-unit buildings need room to meet setback requirements, parking minimums, and accessibility standards. A lot that seems large for a house may be tight for a 24-unit building.

Municipal services are essential for density. Water and sewer access is effectively required for any project above 4 units. Without services, you are limited to small-scale buildings with wells and septic — which rarely achieve the unit counts needed for program eligibility.

Even if your site is not perfect, understanding these factors helps shape realistic project expectations from the start.

Site essentials: Three factors drive site feasibility — ownership certainty (municipal-owned land cuts costs 10–20%), adequate size (multi-unit buildings need room for setbacks and parking), and municipal services (water/sewer required above 4 units). Even imperfect sites can work with the right building type.
Auto-calculated from width × depth, or override
Available services
Part 3 — Planning

Site Density & Building Form

How many units should this site support? Select a target density and we'll identify compatible building forms.

Density Determines Scale

The number of units on your site is the single most important planning decision. Density determines the scale of your project, which building forms are feasible, and the economics that follow.

Use the slider below to set your target unit count. Compatible building forms will be highlighted automatically — select one to model the economics. An architect and municipal planner will refine the design later.

The building form follows from unit count and lot constraints. Higher density means more units sharing land and infrastructure costs, which improves per-unit economics but requires more complex construction.

Density planning: Set your target unit count, then select a compatible building form. Density determines scale; the building form follows from unit count and lot constraints.
4 units
1 6 12 18 24
A note on precision: At this stage, a real project involves an architect and municipal planner. This tool provides a planning-level estimate suitable for council discussion. The numbers will be refined as the project develops.
Part 4 — How It Works

The Backward Equation

Before we run any numbers, you need to understand the single most important concept in affordable housing finance.

Why Affordable Housing Finance Works Backward

In market-rate development, the math is simple: a developer adds up the costs, tacks on a profit margin, and sets rent accordingly. If building costs $250,000 per unit, the developer charges whatever rent the market will bear to make the investment worthwhile. The question is: what rent covers my costs?

In affordable housing, the logic is reversed. You start with a question that has nothing to do with construction costs: who are we trying to house, and what can they afford to pay?

The answer to that question sets a hard ceiling on revenue. Everything else — the building design, the financing structure, the programs you need — flows backward from that ceiling. This is why it's called the backward equation.

The backward equation: Market housing sets rent from costs. Affordable housing starts from what residents can pay, then works backward to determine what the project can finance. The gap between cost and financing capacity is structural, not a failure.

Market Housing
Build it
24-unit building costs $6M total
↓
Set rent to cover costs + profit
Need $1,800/mo per unit to make it work
↓
Whoever can pay, moves in
Household income of ~$72,000+ required
Affordable Housing
Who do you serve?
Workers earning 60% of area median income
↓
What can they afford?
30% of income = ~$975/mo maximum rent
↓
What can the project support?
Mortgage of ~$3.6M (but project costs $6M)
↓
Fill the gap with programs
$2.4M viability gap → grants + contributions
Key Insight
The viability gap is structural, not a failure. When you cap rent at what people can afford, the project almost never self-finances. Every successful affordable housing project in Nova Scotia — and across Canada — has closed this gap using a combination of programs. The gap is not the problem; it is the starting point for assembling funding.
The Math Chain

Here is the sequence that determines everything in affordable housing finance. Each step constrains the next:

Area Median Income
Set by Statistics Canada
→
Target Income
AMI × chosen band %
→
Maximum Rent
Income × 30% ÷ 12
→
Net Operating Income
Rent − operating costs
→
Max Mortgage
NOI ÷ debt coverage
→
Viability Gap
Total cost − mortgage
What Determines the Gap Size?

Three factors determine how big the viability gap will be for your project:

1. Income targeting level. The deeper the affordability (lower AMI percentage), the bigger the gap. A project targeting 30% AMI (deep affordability) will have a much larger gap than one targeting 80% AMI (workforce housing). This is the primary lever.

2. Construction costs. Nova Scotia's construction costs have risen significantly since 2020, driven by labour shortages, material costs, and supply chain disruptions. Higher costs widen the gap. Modular and panelized construction methods can partially offset this.

3. Financing terms. Conventional mortgages (25-year amortization, higher rates) create larger gaps. CMHC's Affordable Housing Loan Program (ACLP) offers 50-year amortization at lower rates — the single biggest lever for reducing the gap. This alone can cut the gap by 30–40%.

Gap drivers: Three things determine gap size — (1) income targeting level (deeper = bigger gap), (2) construction costs (rising in NS), and (3) financing terms (CMHC ACLP can cut the gap 30–40% through 50-year amortization).

Data Sources for This Section
  • CMHC Affordable Housing Loan Program (ACLP) — guidelines and eligibility criteria
  • Statistics Canada, Census Profiles — Area Median Income methodology
Part 5 — Economics

Housing Economics

Now let's apply the backward equation to your project. Income determines rent, rent determines what the project can support.

Understanding Area Median Income (AMI)

Area Median Income (AMI) is the income level at which half the households in your area earn more and half earn less. It is set annually by Statistics Canada and is the foundation of all affordable housing finance in Canada.

When we say "60% AMI," we mean a household earning 60% of the area median income. If the AMI for your municipality is $65,000, then 60% AMI is $39,000 per year. That number determines the maximum rent.

The 30% Rule

The standard in Canadian housing policy is that a household should spend no more than 30% of gross income on housing. Any household spending more than 30% is considered to be in "housing cost burden." Spending more than 50% is "severe housing cost burden."

This 30% threshold is used by CMHC, the provincial government, and virtually every housing program in Canada to determine maximum affordable rents. It is not arbitrary — research consistently shows that spending above 30% forces trade-offs on food, transportation, and healthcare that undermine household stability.

For your project, this means: Target income × 30% ÷ 12 months = maximum monthly rent.

AMI & the 30% rule: Area Median Income (AMI) is set by Statistics Canada. "60% AMI" means 60% of median income. The 30% rule caps housing cost at 30% of gross income — the standard used by CMHC and all major programs. Target income × 30% ÷ 12 = max rent.

Who will this housing serve?

Select an income targeting level. This determines the maximum rent, which drives the entire project's economics.

30% AMI
Deep Affordability
Person on income assistance, part-time minimum wage worker, senior on GIS only
—
max monthly rent
50% AMI
Core Housing Need
Full-time minimum wage worker, senior on pension, person with disability supports
—
max monthly rent
60% AMI
Affordable (Recommended)
Retail worker, administrative assistant, early-career tradesperson, PSW
—
max monthly rent
80% AMI
Workforce Housing
Experienced tradesperson, teacher, nurse, police officer, small business owner
—
max monthly rent
How rent is calculated
AMI × band % = target income
Target income × 30% ÷ 12 = max monthly rent
Maximum affordable rent —
Operating Costs (per unit/year)
What Operating Costs Include

Operating costs are everything needed to keep the building running after it's built. They include property taxes, insurance, utilities (common areas), routine maintenance, property management fees, and capital replacement reserves (money set aside for future roof, HVAC, and other major repairs).

These costs are subtracted from rental income to determine Net Operating Income (NOI) — the amount available for mortgage payments. Higher operating costs mean less NOI, which means a smaller mortgage, which means a larger viability gap.

The defaults below are based on Nova Scotia averages for affordable housing. You can adjust them if you have more specific information for your project.

Operating costs (taxes, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management, reserves) are subtracted from rent to determine Net Operating Income. Higher operating costs mean a larger viability gap. Defaults are NS averages.
Net Operating Income (NOI)
Data Sources for This Section
Part 6 — Costs & Gap

Costs & The Viability Gap

How much does it cost to build, and what gap exists between cost and what the project can finance?

Understanding Construction Costs in Nova Scotia

Construction costs in Nova Scotia have risen sharply since 2020. Labour shortages, material price increases, and supply chain disruptions have pushed per-unit costs well above historical norms. A unit that cost $160,000 to build in 2019 might cost $210,000–$250,000 today, depending on region and building type.

The cost figure below includes hard costs (materials, labour, site work) and soft costs (architectural, engineering, permits, legal — typically 10–20% of hard costs). Land cost is tracked separately because municipal land contributions are a key funding lever.

Cost context: NS construction costs have risen significantly since 2020. The figure below includes hard costs (materials, labour) and soft costs (design, permits — ~10–20% of hard costs). Land is tracked separately as it's often a municipal contribution.
Enter your expected per-unit construction cost, or use the regional default.
How the gap is calculated
Hard costs = Cost/unit × Units —
Soft costs = Hard costs × 12.5% —
Total = Hard + Soft + Land —
Max mortgage (from NOI) —
GAP = Total cost − Max mortgage —
The Viability Gap
Putting the Gap in Context

The gap you see above is typical for affordable housing in Nova Scotia. It is not a sign that the project is unworkable — it is the starting point for funding assembly.

To illustrate: if your project qualifies for CMHC ACLP financing (50-year amortization at lower rates instead of conventional 25-year terms), the maximum mortgage increases substantially. On a typical 24-unit project, ACLP alone can reduce the gap by $800,000 to $1.2 million — before a single grant dollar is applied.

The next sections will show you exactly how programs stack together to close this gap.

Gap is closeable: CMHC ACLP financing alone (50-year amortization) typically reduces the gap by $800K–$1.2M on a 24-unit project. Grants and municipal contributions close the rest. The next sections show you how.
Data Sources for This Section
Part 7 — Programs

What Changes the Equation

Your project has a viability gap. Here's how affordable housing projects actually get built despite that gap.

Your Project's Gap

Based on what you've entered so far, your project has an estimated viability gap of $0. This is the difference between what the project costs and what it can finance from rental income alone.

This gap is not unique to your project. It is the reality of every affordable housing development in Canada. What matters is whether the gap is closeable — and in Nova Scotia, the tools exist to close it.

Your estimated gap: $0. Every affordable housing project has one. The question is whether it's closeable — and in Nova Scotia, the programs exist to close it. Here's how.

The Funding Stack

Successful affordable housing projects don't rely on a single program. They layer multiple funding sources together — each one closing a portion of the gap. Think of it as building a wall, one brick at a time:

Total Project Cost
Layer 1: Mortgage (from rental income)
Layer 2: CMHC ACLP (better mortgage terms)
Layer 3: Federal grants (BCH, RHI)
Layer 4: Provincial programs (AHDP)
Layer 5: Municipal contributions (land, tax relief, fee waivers)

The Big Three

Three program categories do the heavy lifting in Nova Scotia affordable housing:

CMHC ACLP

What it does: Replaces conventional mortgage terms with 50-year amortization at below-market fixed rates with a lower debt coverage ratio (1.10 vs 1.30).

Impact: Increases mortgage capacity by 30–40%. This is the single biggest lever for reducing the viability gap.

Eligibility: Must maintain affordability for the loan term. At least 20% of units with rents at or below 30% of area median household income.

Provincial Programs

NS AHDP: The Affordable Housing Development Program provides up to $55,000/unit in forgivable loans for qualifying affordable housing projects.

Impact: Direct reduction of the viability gap. Stacks with federal programs.

Eligibility: Must serve households below 80% of area median household income. Non-profit or municipal sponsor preferred.

Municipal Tools

Land contribution: Donating or leasing municipal land at below-market value. Often the most impactful municipal action.

Tax incentives: Multi-year property tax reductions or exemptions for affordable housing.

Fee waivers: Waiving development charges, permit fees, and connection fees.

What Makes a Project Fundable?

Funders evaluate projects against a consistent set of criteria. The more boxes you check, the stronger your application:

  • Demonstrated need: Evidence of housing demand in the community (this tool provides that)
  • Site readiness: Land secured, services available, zoning compatible
  • Municipal support: Council resolution, land contribution, or tax incentives committed
  • Affordability depth: Deeper affordability = stronger application, but also larger gap
  • Operating sustainability: Realistic operating budget that keeps the building maintained long-term
  • Community partnerships: Non-profit operator, social service partners, or community advisory committee
  • Energy efficiency: Projects meeting higher energy standards score better with CMHC programs

Fundability checklist: Demonstrated need, site readiness, municipal support (council resolution + contributions), affordability depth, operating sustainability, community partnerships, and energy efficiency. The more you check, the stronger the application.

Data Sources for This Section
  • CMHC Affordable Housing Loan Program (ACLP) — program guidelines and rates
  • Nova Scotia Affordable Housing Development Program (AHDP) — program criteria
  • Federation of Canadian Municipalities, Green Municipal Fund — energy efficiency standards
Part 8 — Funding

Funding Your Project

Federal, provincial, and municipal programs can close the viability gap. Build your funding stack.

Funding Stacking: Art and Science

Assembling a funding stack is part art, part science. The science is the math — each program has defined contribution amounts and eligibility criteria. The art is in the sequencing and strategy.

Start with the biggest lever first: CMHC ACLP financing changes the entire equation by increasing mortgage capacity. Then layer in federal grants, provincial programs, and municipal contributions. Each layer reduces the remaining gap.

The inputs below let you model different scenarios. Try toggling ACLP on and off to see its impact. Adjust grant amounts to match your expected program outcomes. The funding stack visualization updates in real time.

Strategy: Start with CMHC ACLP (biggest lever), then layer federal grants, provincial programs, and municipal contributions. Toggle options below to model different scenarios. The stack visualization updates in real time.

Replaces conventional mortgage terms. Single biggest viability lever.

Grant Programs

Municipal Contributions

Funding Stack

After Funding
Data Sources for This Section
Part 9 — Action Plan

Your Action Plan

Your consolidated plan with timeline, viability assessment, comparable examples, and next steps.

Calculating...

Project Summary

Estimated Timeline

Comparable Projects

Municipal housing projects in communities similar to yours.

Data Sources for This Section

Export & Share

Council Briefing PDF
Non-technical summary designed for elected officials. Visual, concise, and council-ready.
Copy Assessment Link
Copy a link that recreates your entire scenario. Share with colleagues or council members.
Email Summary
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Print Assessment
Print-friendly version of your housing assessment summary.

Get Implementation Support

The team behind this tool has supported municipalities across Nova Scotia in moving from plan to construction. If you would like hands-on support with your project, we can help.

Your scenario data will be included. Information shared with Forward Creative and Helio Urban Development for project consultation purposes.

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A free tool by Forward Creative + Helio Urban Development
Data sources: Statistics Canada, CMHC, NS Dept of Municipal Affairs. Estimates are illustrative — consult professionals for project decisions.
Data current as of January 2026  |  v1.0

About This Tool

Data Sources

  • Demographics & Income: Statistics Canada Census 2021
  • Rental Market: CMHC Rental Market Report (October 2024)
  • Housing Supply: CMHC Housing Supply Gaps Report (June 2025)
  • Funding Programs: CMHC ACLP Guidelines 2025, Infrastructure Canada HAF, NS AHDP
  • Municipal Data: NS Dept of Municipal Affairs

Methodology

The Navigator uses planning-level estimates derived from publicly available data. Housing need is modeled from population growth, household formation rates, and average household size. Financial projections use CMHC program parameters and regional construction cost data. All figures are illustrative — formal feasibility analysis should be conducted before committing resources.

Limitations

  • Estimates are based on planning-level data, not site-specific assessments
  • Construction costs vary by location, soil conditions, and market timing
  • Funding program availability and terms may change
  • Municipal-specific policies and zoning requirements are not modeled

Built By

Forward Creative + Helio Urban Development

Data current as of January 2026  |  v1.0